ISLAMABAD: Federal Minister for Finance and Revenue Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb has said that Pakistan’s economy is expected to grow by more than 4 percent this fiscal year despite elevated oil prices, as the government looks to push for the privatization of five to six entities that could raise more than $1 billion.
Pakistan’s economy is considered to be highly vulnerable to a prolonged Middle East conflict given its dependence on Gulf energy imports, remittances and financing support from the region, even as it remains reliant on external financing to bolster foreign exchange reserves and meet debt repayments.
In an interview with Reuters news agency on Monday, Aurangzeb said Pakistan has been able to procure adequate quantities of fuel, successfully avoiding any shortages, and critical sectors such as agriculture were holding up. “So I’m still quite clear that we should clock north of 4 percent,” he added.
“And on the inflation side, obviously, we are keeping a very close eye because it does have a knock-on impact in terms of the commodity prices,” the minister said.
Following a period of severe economic turmoil exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic, the cash-strapped economy has recovered some of its footing, supported by a $7 billion, 37-month IMF loan programme known as the Extended Fund Facility signed in 2024 that includes some tough measures such as raising tax revenue on farm income.
Pakistan, which reached a staff-level agreement with the IMF last week potentially unlocking about $1.21 billion in financing under the Extended Fund Facility and a climate programme, is continuing discussions with the United States for a proposed $10 billion exchange stabilization facility, Aurangzeb said. But he declined to provide a timeframe for the conclusion of negotiations.
“If it comes through, this will be a great help for us,” he said, referring to the facility, which is in addition to ongoing talks with the Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM) and the US International Development Finance Corporation (DFC).
“If it doesn’t come through, this does not, you know, create any problem for us in terms of access to market.”
Following the privatization of flag carrier Pakistan International Airlines (PIA) last year, Aurangzeb said the government has around another dozen entities in the pipeline, including state-owned power distribution companies and the outsourcing of airport operations.
“I expect about five or six of these to go through during this fiscal year,” he said, adding they could raise more than $1 billion.
Privatization has been seen as a key test of Pakistan’s reform credibility with the IMF, with officials previously underlining that failure to offload loss-making state firms risked renewed pressure on public finances.
“We are quite clear that we want the private sector to lead the country,” said Aurangzeb, adding “So our role is to help support, assist any way we can in terms of the ecosystem.”
