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New Zealand PM Luxon sees path back to government after knife-edge poll

New Zealand Prime Minister Christopher Luxon said Sunday his right-wing coalition had a path back to office, while conceding the vote remained “too close to call” after a hard-fought campaign dominated by cost of living issues.

Neither Luxon’s National Party nor the centre-left Labour won enough seats in parliament to form a government without minor parties in an election that put the two main parties neck and neck at 29 percent — just a few thousand votes separating them.

Preliminary results had National winning the most seats, which would give them a very slim majority if combined with their coalition partners — the populist NZ First and the libertarian ACT.

“National is once again the largest party in parliament, and we have a pathway to forming the next government. But right now it is too close to call,” Luxon told supporters in Auckland.

He said he would run a caretaker government until the final votes were tallied on November 27.

Those votes — which include those from the tens of thousands of New Zealanders living abroad — could tip the balance of the poll.

“With those final results there can then be meaningful negotiations,” Luxon said.

At an event with supporters in Upper Hutt, near Wellington, Labour leader Chris Hipkins arrived late to cheers of his nickname “Chippy” — greeted with adulation even as he accepted that his party may not play a role in the next government.

“New Zealand has spoken. It may take us a little bit longer to figure out exactly what it is that you’ve said,” he told supporters.

“Our next parliament is going to require all of us to compromise, to work together, and to find common ground.”

Centrist upstart

This week’s knife-edge poll drew intense attention to the country’s minor parties, in particular the upstart centrist Opportunity Party.

Under the country’s mixed-member proportional representation (MMP) system, voters must tick two options — a general party list as well as an individual member to represent their electorate.

Results put Opportunity winning over five percent — the threshold needed to gain seats in parliament without an electorate candidate win, which could give the party a kingmaker role in the next government.

Leader Qiulae Wong has vowed a kinder, gentler politics and said she could work with whichever party wins the most seats.

“You guys have voted for unity over division,” she said as votes rolled in.

“You have voted to change New Zealand politics for good.”

Cost of living 

Kiwis are struggling to make ends meet — the price of basic goods remains stubbornly elevated, and unemployment at its highest in more than a decade.

The war in the Middle East and the subsequent global fuel shock have been widely blamed for the hit to New Zealand’s economy.

Luxon had hoped his right-wing coalition could cling to power with promises of “no new taxes”, after three fractious years in office, two failed bids by his own party to oust him as leader and an economy in the doldrums.

And while National have a path to power and the largest number of seats, they would do so without several of their most senior and highest-performing members.

Deputy leader and Finance Minister Nicola Willis would not return to parliament due to her party’s poor performance in party voting.

And Chris Bishop, the minister for housing, infrastructure and transport, looks set to lose his Hutt South seat, leaving him out of parliament.

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